| Cupcake vs Jin | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| Cupcake vs Reina | 1–5 | 16.67% |
| Cupcake vs King | 4–0 | 100.00% |
| Cupcake vs Law | 0–3 | 0.00% |
| Cupcake vs Yoshimitsu | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Cupcake vs Shaheen | 0–3 | 0.00% |
| Cupcake vs Eddy | 0–3 | 0.00% |
| Cupcake vs Hwoarang | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Cupcake vs Steve | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Cupcake vs Lars | 1–1 | 50.00% |
| Cupcake vs Azucena | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Cupcake vs Kazuya | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| Cupcake vs Lili | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| Cupcake vs Dragunov | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| Cupcake vs Xiaoyu | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| Cupcake vs Nina | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| Cupcake vs Leroy | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| Cupcake vs Jun | 1–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.