| Happy Meal vs Jin | 20–15 | 57.14% |
| Happy Meal vs King | 19–12 | 61.29% |
| Happy Meal vs Bryan | 14–13 | 51.85% |
| Happy Meal vs Law | 12–9 | 57.14% |
| Happy Meal vs Kazuya | 12–6 | 66.67% |
| Happy Meal vs Steve | 15–3 | 83.33% |
| Happy Meal vs Victor | 12–6 | 66.67% |
| Happy Meal vs Dragunov | 9–8 | 52.94% |
| Happy Meal vs Lars | 9–7 | 56.25% |
| Happy Meal vs Hwoarang | 4–9 | 30.77% |
| Happy Meal vs Jack-8 | 5–7 | 41.67% |
| Happy Meal vs Devil Jin | 6–5 | 54.55% |
| Happy Meal vs Azucena | 6–5 | 54.55% |
| Happy Meal vs Raven | 7–4 | 63.64% |
| Happy Meal vs Jun | 8–2 | 80.00% |
| Happy Meal vs Lidia | 4–6 | 40.00% |
| Happy Meal vs Asuka | 4–5 | 44.44% |
| Happy Meal vs Lili | 3–6 | 33.33% |
| Happy Meal vs Claudio | 6–3 | 66.67% |
| Happy Meal vs Nina | 4–5 | 44.44% |
| Happy Meal vs Yoshimitsu | 6–2 | 75.00% |
| Happy Meal vs Feng | 6–2 | 75.00% |
| Happy Meal vs Paul | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Happy Meal vs Xiaoyu | 5–1 | 83.33% |
| Happy Meal vs Lee | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Happy Meal vs Leroy | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Happy Meal vs Reina | 4–2 | 66.67% |
| Happy Meal vs Zafina | 0–4 | 0.00% |
| Happy Meal vs Eddy | 4–0 | 100.00% |
| Happy Meal vs Leo | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Happy Meal vs Alisa | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Happy Meal vs Fahkumram | 2–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.