| The outsider vs Kazuya | 35–62 | 36.08% |
| The outsider vs Armor King | 52–42 | 55.32% |
| The outsider vs Reina | 34–34 | 50.00% |
| The outsider vs King | 35–31 | 53.03% |
| The outsider vs Jin | 29–32 | 47.54% |
| The outsider vs Bryan | 24–27 | 47.06% |
| The outsider vs Steve | 22–26 | 45.83% |
| The outsider vs Hwoarang | 16–31 | 34.04% |
| The outsider vs Lee | 28–19 | 59.57% |
| The outsider vs Heihachi | 15–23 | 39.47% |
| The outsider vs Azucena | 20–17 | 54.05% |
| The outsider vs Law | 16–18 | 47.06% |
| The outsider vs Paul | 22–11 | 66.67% |
| The outsider vs Dragunov | 17–14 | 54.84% |
| The outsider vs Victor | 14–17 | 45.16% |
| The outsider vs Jack-8 | 14–16 | 46.67% |
| The outsider vs Asuka | 14–16 | 46.67% |
| The outsider vs Lili | 19–9 | 67.86% |
| The outsider vs Eddy | 20–8 | 71.43% |
| The outsider vs Nina | 15–11 | 57.69% |
| The outsider vs Clive | 9–16 | 36.00% |
| The outsider vs Lars | 6–18 | 25.00% |
| The outsider vs Fahkumram | 14–9 | 60.87% |
| The outsider vs Yoshimitsu | 12–9 | 57.14% |
| The outsider vs Leroy | 10–10 | 50.00% |
| The outsider vs Jun | 11–8 | 57.89% |
| The outsider vs Raven | 9–10 | 47.37% |
| The outsider vs Miary Zo | 15–2 | 88.24% |
| The outsider vs Leo | 9–6 | 60.00% |
| The outsider vs Xiaoyu | 8–6 | 57.14% |
| The outsider vs Feng | 9–4 | 69.23% |
| The outsider vs Claudio | 8–5 | 61.54% |
| The outsider vs Devil Jin | 9–3 | 75.00% |
| The outsider vs Lidia | 5–6 | 45.45% |
| The outsider vs Alisa | 1–9 | 10.00% |
| The outsider vs Shaheen | 1–8 | 11.11% |
| The outsider vs Kuma | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| The outsider vs Anna | 0–3 | 0.00% |
| The outsider vs Panda | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| The outsider vs Zafina | 2–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.