| SpicyPaint vs Hwoarang | 9–13 | 40.91% |
| SpicyPaint vs Clive | 5–13 | 27.78% |
| SpicyPaint vs Reina | 10–7 | 58.82% |
| SpicyPaint vs Kazuya | 9–7 | 56.25% |
| SpicyPaint vs Steve | 10–5 | 66.67% |
| SpicyPaint vs Dragunov | 6–9 | 40.00% |
| SpicyPaint vs Yoshimitsu | 3–11 | 21.43% |
| SpicyPaint vs Jin | 2–12 | 14.29% |
| SpicyPaint vs King | 6–7 | 46.15% |
| SpicyPaint vs Bryan | 6–7 | 46.15% |
| SpicyPaint vs Azucena | 3–10 | 23.08% |
| SpicyPaint vs Asuka | 3–9 | 25.00% |
| SpicyPaint vs Lili | 6–5 | 54.55% |
| SpicyPaint vs Jun | 4–7 | 36.36% |
| SpicyPaint vs Leo | 5–4 | 55.56% |
| SpicyPaint vs Kuma | 3–5 | 37.50% |
| SpicyPaint vs Victor | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| SpicyPaint vs Paul | 1–6 | 14.29% |
| SpicyPaint vs Jack-8 | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| SpicyPaint vs Lars | 0–6 | 0.00% |
| SpicyPaint vs Xiaoyu | 4–1 | 80.00% |
| SpicyPaint vs Nina | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| SpicyPaint vs Devil Jin | 0–4 | 0.00% |
| SpicyPaint vs Claudio | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| SpicyPaint vs Zafina | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| SpicyPaint vs Lidia | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| SpicyPaint vs Law | 1–1 | 50.00% |
| SpicyPaint vs Feng | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| SpicyPaint vs Alisa | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| SpicyPaint vs Lee | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| SpicyPaint vs Leroy | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| SpicyPaint vs Raven | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| SpicyPaint vs Heihachi | 0–2 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.