| OverSpray vs Kazuya | 131–140–1 | 48.34% |
| OverSpray vs King | 130–121 | 51.79% |
| OverSpray vs Jin | 104–100 | 50.98% |
| OverSpray vs Hwoarang | 98–101 | 49.25% |
| OverSpray vs Bryan | 120–76 | 61.22% |
| OverSpray vs Reina | 86–104 | 45.26% |
| OverSpray vs Lili | 94–86 | 52.22% |
| OverSpray vs Law | 94–84 | 52.81% |
| OverSpray vs Steve | 103–65 | 61.31% |
| OverSpray vs Paul | 95–41 | 69.85% |
| OverSpray vs Yoshimitsu | 61–65 | 48.41% |
| OverSpray vs Dragunov | 61–63 | 49.19% |
| OverSpray vs Lars | 57–67 | 45.97% |
| OverSpray vs Devil Jin | 65–58 | 52.85% |
| OverSpray vs Azucena | 55–66–1 | 45.45% |
| OverSpray vs Nina | 52–62 | 45.61% |
| OverSpray vs Jun | 55–52 | 51.40% |
| OverSpray vs Heihachi | 66–38 | 63.46% |
| OverSpray vs Asuka | 44–59 | 42.72% |
| OverSpray vs Leo | 44–58 | 43.14% |
| OverSpray vs Armor King | 46–56 | 45.10% |
| OverSpray vs Leroy | 52–47 | 52.53% |
| OverSpray vs Lee | 38–54 | 41.30% |
| OverSpray vs Xiaoyu | 42–49 | 46.15% |
| OverSpray vs Eddy | 40–48 | 45.45% |
| OverSpray vs Victor | 37–47 | 44.05% |
| OverSpray vs Zafina | 46–34 | 57.50% |
| OverSpray vs Alisa | 38–37 | 50.67% |
| OverSpray vs Lidia | 31–40 | 43.66% |
| OverSpray vs Jack-8 | 24–46 | 34.29% |
| OverSpray vs Feng | 30–38 | 44.12% |
| OverSpray vs Raven | 30–34 | 46.88% |
| OverSpray vs Shaheen | 26–36 | 41.94% |
| OverSpray vs Fahkumram | 31–31 | 50.00% |
| OverSpray vs Claudio | 20–35 | 36.36% |
| OverSpray vs Anna | 15–27 | 35.71% |
| OverSpray vs Clive | 17–20 | 45.95% |
| OverSpray vs Miary Zo | 12–23 | 34.29% |
| OverSpray vs Kuma | 8–22 | 26.67% |
| OverSpray vs Panda | 6–8 | 42.86% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.