| OverSpray vs King | 65–61 | 51.59% |
| OverSpray vs Jin | 57–67 | 45.97% |
| OverSpray vs Kazuya | 50–68 | 42.37% |
| OverSpray vs Reina | 53–50 | 51.46% |
| OverSpray vs Bryan | 62–38 | 62.00% |
| OverSpray vs Law | 51–45 | 53.12% |
| OverSpray vs Hwoarang | 41–48 | 46.07% |
| OverSpray vs Steve | 46–33 | 58.23% |
| OverSpray vs Lili | 40–31 | 56.34% |
| OverSpray vs Dragunov | 34–36 | 48.57% |
| OverSpray vs Lars | 30–39 | 43.48% |
| OverSpray vs Paul | 45–18 | 71.43% |
| OverSpray vs Azucena | 32–29–1 | 52.46% |
| OverSpray vs Devil Jin | 35–25 | 58.33% |
| OverSpray vs Asuka | 25–31 | 44.64% |
| OverSpray vs Yoshimitsu | 29–26 | 52.73% |
| OverSpray vs Xiaoyu | 25–29 | 46.30% |
| OverSpray vs Victor | 26–27 | 49.06% |
| OverSpray vs Leo | 21–30 | 41.18% |
| OverSpray vs Jun | 19–30 | 38.78% |
| OverSpray vs Lee | 23–24 | 48.94% |
| OverSpray vs Zafina | 24–19 | 55.81% |
| OverSpray vs Leroy | 22–21 | 51.16% |
| OverSpray vs Nina | 21–20 | 51.22% |
| OverSpray vs Feng | 16–24 | 40.00% |
| OverSpray vs Alisa | 18–22 | 45.00% |
| OverSpray vs Raven | 21–18 | 53.85% |
| OverSpray vs Eddy | 17–19 | 47.22% |
| OverSpray vs Claudio | 16–19 | 45.71% |
| OverSpray vs Shaheen | 12–21 | 36.36% |
| OverSpray vs Jack-8 | 11–21 | 34.38% |
| OverSpray vs Lidia | 9–11 | 45.00% |
| OverSpray vs Clive | 8–10 | 44.44% |
| OverSpray vs Kuma | 3–14 | 17.65% |
| OverSpray vs Heihachi | 12–5 | 70.59% |
| OverSpray vs Panda | 2–3 | 40.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.