| Messatsu vs Kazuya | 31–40 | 43.66% |
| Messatsu vs Bryan | 33–27 | 55.00% |
| Messatsu vs Jin | 33–24 | 57.89% |
| Messatsu vs Hwoarang | 35–19 | 64.81% |
| Messatsu vs Devil Jin | 25–27 | 48.08% |
| Messatsu vs Dragunov | 29–22 | 56.86% |
| Messatsu vs Paul | 34–15 | 69.39% |
| Messatsu vs Lee | 27–16 | 62.79% |
| Messatsu vs Reina | 23–19 | 54.76% |
| Messatsu vs Law | 23–15 | 60.53% |
| Messatsu vs Lili | 20–12 | 62.50% |
| Messatsu vs Jun | 13–19 | 40.62% |
| Messatsu vs Feng | 15–16 | 48.39% |
| Messatsu vs King | 14–15 | 48.28% |
| Messatsu vs Yoshimitsu | 15–14 | 51.72% |
| Messatsu vs Alisa | 10–18 | 35.71% |
| Messatsu vs Steve | 11–15 | 42.31% |
| Messatsu vs Raven | 13–10 | 56.52% |
| Messatsu vs Xiaoyu | 11–10 | 52.38% |
| Messatsu vs Lidia | 7–14 | 33.33% |
| Messatsu vs Leo | 13–7 | 65.00% |
| Messatsu vs Jack-8 | 10–9 | 52.63% |
| Messatsu vs Shaheen | 9–10 | 47.37% |
| Messatsu vs Asuka | 11–5 | 68.75% |
| Messatsu vs Nina | 13–3 | 81.25% |
| Messatsu vs Anna | 8–8 | 50.00% |
| Messatsu vs Azucena | 6–9 | 40.00% |
| Messatsu vs Victor | 8–7 | 53.33% |
| Messatsu vs Armor King | 8–7 | 53.33% |
| Messatsu vs Lars | 7–7 | 50.00% |
| Messatsu vs Leroy | 10–2 | 83.33% |
| Messatsu vs Claudio | 5–6 | 45.45% |
| Messatsu vs Zafina | 4–7 | 36.36% |
| Messatsu vs Heihachi | 6–4 | 60.00% |
| Messatsu vs Eddy | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| Messatsu vs Clive | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| Messatsu vs Miary Zo | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| Messatsu vs Kuma | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Messatsu vs Fahkumram | 1–1 | 50.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.