| ProbablyThrow vs Dragunov | 13–10 | 56.52% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Law | 12–7 | 63.16% |
| ProbablyThrow vs King | 12–6 | 66.67% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Steve | 9–9 | 50.00% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Bryan | 14–3 | 82.35% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Kazuya | 7–8 | 46.67% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Jin | 12–2 | 85.71% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Reina | 11–3 | 78.57% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Victor | 10–4 | 71.43% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Yoshimitsu | 9–4 | 69.23% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Miary Zo | 8–3 | 72.73% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Lili | 6–4 | 60.00% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Jun | 4–6 | 40.00% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Paul | 6–3 | 66.67% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Asuka | 7–2 | 77.78% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Claudio | 3–5 | 37.50% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Lidia | 6–2 | 75.00% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Lars | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Jack-8 | 4–1 | 80.00% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Devil Jin | 4–1 | 80.00% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Armor King | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Xiaoyu | 3–0 | 100.00% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Alisa | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Shaheen | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Raven | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Eddy | 3–0 | 100.00% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Leo | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Lee | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Kuma | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Azucena | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Hwoarang | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Nina | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Zafina | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Heihachi | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| ProbablyThrow vs Fahkumram | 1–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.