| water130 vs Kazuya | 194–200 | 49.24% |
| water130 vs King | 191–191 | 50.00% |
| water130 vs Jin | 172–191 | 47.38% |
| water130 vs Bryan | 176–152 | 53.66% |
| water130 vs Steve | 152–173 | 46.77% |
| water130 vs Hwoarang | 139–178 | 43.85% |
| water130 vs Reina | 118–197 | 37.46% |
| water130 vs Law | 128–140 | 47.76% |
| water130 vs Dragunov | 113–143 | 44.14% |
| water130 vs Lili | 116–127 | 47.74% |
| water130 vs Paul | 115–123 | 48.32% |
| water130 vs Yoshimitsu | 89–148 | 37.55% |
| water130 vs Heihachi | 98–111 | 46.89% |
| water130 vs Lars | 71–116 | 37.97% |
| water130 vs Lee | 99–88 | 52.94% |
| water130 vs Azucena | 83–98 | 45.86% |
| water130 vs Asuka | 89–91 | 49.44% |
| water130 vs Jun | 82–81 | 50.31% |
| water130 vs Lidia | 73–75 | 49.32% |
| water130 vs Xiaoyu | 81–66 | 55.10% |
| water130 vs Leo | 79–65 | 54.86% |
| water130 vs Victor | 61–81 | 42.96% |
| water130 vs Raven | 57–72 | 44.19% |
| water130 vs Devil Jin | 41–84 | 32.80% |
| water130 vs Nina | 55–68 | 44.72% |
| water130 vs Eddy | 62–55 | 52.99% |
| water130 vs Feng | 49–66 | 42.61% |
| water130 vs Claudio | 49–64 | 43.36% |
| water130 vs Jack-8 | 49–52 | 48.51% |
| water130 vs Alisa | 47–49 | 48.96% |
| water130 vs Leroy | 50–45 | 52.63% |
| water130 vs Kuma | 27–47 | 36.49% |
| water130 vs Zafina | 29–23 | 55.77% |
| water130 vs Clive | 15–35 | 30.00% |
| water130 vs Shaheen | 29–19–1 | 60.42% |
| water130 vs Panda | 9–14 | 39.13% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.