| MoonCake vs Kazuya | 125–82 | 60.39% |
| MoonCake vs Heihachi | 71–107 | 39.89% |
| MoonCake vs Jin | 99–68 | 59.28% |
| MoonCake vs Bryan | 90–59 | 60.40% |
| MoonCake vs King | 59–40 | 59.60% |
| MoonCake vs Dragunov | 57–40 | 58.76% |
| MoonCake vs Reina | 56–40 | 58.33% |
| MoonCake vs Hwoarang | 52–41 | 55.91% |
| MoonCake vs Paul | 51–40 | 56.04% |
| MoonCake vs Steve | 50–35 | 58.82% |
| MoonCake vs Yoshimitsu | 42–39 | 51.85% |
| MoonCake vs Asuka | 38–38 | 50.00% |
| MoonCake vs Feng | 32–36 | 47.06% |
| MoonCake vs Lee | 31–37 | 45.59% |
| MoonCake vs Devil Jin | 22–40 | 35.48% |
| MoonCake vs Lidia | 43–19 | 69.35% |
| MoonCake vs Law | 40–18 | 68.97% |
| MoonCake vs Lili | 27–20 | 57.45% |
| MoonCake vs Jun | 23–24 | 48.94% |
| MoonCake vs Nina | 22–23 | 48.89% |
| MoonCake vs Azucena | 28–16 | 63.64% |
| MoonCake vs Lars | 18–23 | 43.90% |
| MoonCake vs Victor | 16–17 | 48.48% |
| MoonCake vs Xiaoyu | 19–12 | 61.29% |
| MoonCake vs Jack-8 | 12–19 | 38.71% |
| MoonCake vs Leo | 13–18 | 41.94% |
| MoonCake vs Raven | 8–20 | 28.57% |
| MoonCake vs Zafina | 6–19 | 24.00% |
| MoonCake vs Eddy | 14–11 | 56.00% |
| MoonCake vs Leroy | 14–10 | 58.33% |
| MoonCake vs Alisa | 11–12 | 47.83% |
| MoonCake vs Claudio | 8–8 | 50.00% |
| MoonCake vs Kuma | 11–5 | 68.75% |
| MoonCake vs Shaheen | 5–10 | 33.33% |
| MoonCake vs Panda | 2–5 | 28.57% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.