| Thestral vs Steve | 19–18 | 51.35% |
| Thestral vs Reina | 12–16 | 42.86% |
| Thestral vs Law | 10–17 | 37.04% |
| Thestral vs Kazuya | 10–15 | 40.00% |
| Thestral vs Jin | 12–12 | 50.00% |
| Thestral vs Azucena | 6–11 | 35.29% |
| Thestral vs Yoshimitsu | 8–8 | 50.00% |
| Thestral vs Lili | 3–13 | 18.75% |
| Thestral vs Lee | 10–6 | 62.50% |
| Thestral vs Hwoarang | 3–12 | 20.00% |
| Thestral vs King | 3–9 | 25.00% |
| Thestral vs Shaheen | 1–10 | 9.09% |
| Thestral vs Eddy | 1–10 | 9.09% |
| Thestral vs Jun | 3–6 | 33.33% |
| Thestral vs Raven | 7–2 | 77.78% |
| Thestral vs Lars | 5–2 | 71.43% |
| Thestral vs Nina | 3–4 | 42.86% |
| Thestral vs Victor | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Thestral vs Feng | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| Thestral vs Leroy | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| Thestral vs Bryan | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Thestral vs Jack-8 | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Thestral vs Asuka | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Thestral vs Claudio | 4–0 | 100.00% |
| Thestral vs Paul | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Thestral vs Dragunov | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Thestral vs Lidia | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Thestral vs Xiaoyu | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Thestral vs Alisa | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Thestral vs Zafina | 2–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.