| Kincaid vs Reina | 112–106 | 51.38% |
| Kincaid vs Kazuya | 94–113 | 45.41% |
| Kincaid vs Dragunov | 76–98 | 43.68% |
| Kincaid vs Paul | 50–96 | 34.25% |
| Kincaid vs Jin | 53–86 | 38.13% |
| Kincaid vs King | 61–69 | 46.92% |
| Kincaid vs Asuka | 60–66 | 47.62% |
| Kincaid vs Bryan | 50–72 | 40.98% |
| Kincaid vs Steve | 48–74 | 39.34% |
| Kincaid vs Hwoarang | 40–75 | 34.78% |
| Kincaid vs Lili | 41–61 | 40.20% |
| Kincaid vs Heihachi | 38–55 | 40.86% |
| Kincaid vs Law | 39–52 | 42.86% |
| Kincaid vs Victor | 37–50 | 42.53% |
| Kincaid vs Jun | 25–54 | 31.65% |
| Kincaid vs Clive | 39–32 | 54.93% |
| Kincaid vs Nina | 26–37 | 41.27% |
| Kincaid vs Azucena | 28–33 | 45.90% |
| Kincaid vs Yoshimitsu | 23–36 | 38.98% |
| Kincaid vs Claudio | 28–31 | 47.46% |
| Kincaid vs Devil Jin | 30–28 | 51.72% |
| Kincaid vs Jack-8 | 22–33 | 40.00% |
| Kincaid vs Lee | 18–34 | 34.62% |
| Kincaid vs Eddy | 16–33 | 32.65% |
| Kincaid vs Xiaoyu | 21–27 | 43.75% |
| Kincaid vs Leo | 23–25 | 47.92% |
| Kincaid vs Feng | 16–28 | 36.36% |
| Kincaid vs Leroy | 11–33 | 25.00% |
| Kincaid vs Alisa | 14–29 | 32.56% |
| Kincaid vs Lidia | 11–30 | 26.83% |
| Kincaid vs Lars | 11–27 | 28.95% |
| Kincaid vs Kuma | 9–18 | 33.33% |
| Kincaid vs Shaheen | 9–14 | 39.13% |
| Kincaid vs Raven | 8–13 | 38.10% |
| Kincaid vs Zafina | 8–4 | 66.67% |
| Kincaid vs Panda | 0–5 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.