| Toasty vs King | 36–24 | 60.00% |
| Toasty vs Jin | 31–28 | 52.54% |
| Toasty vs Steve | 21–18 | 53.85% |
| Toasty vs Lili | 16–18 | 47.06% |
| Toasty vs Bryan | 14–18 | 43.75% |
| Toasty vs Kazuya | 13–16 | 44.83% |
| Toasty vs Hwoarang | 11–14 | 44.00% |
| Toasty vs Dragunov | 16–9 | 64.00% |
| Toasty vs Lee | 11–13 | 45.83% |
| Toasty vs Yoshimitsu | 14–9 | 60.87% |
| Toasty vs Reina | 12–10 | 54.55% |
| Toasty vs Azucena | 10–11 | 47.62% |
| Toasty vs Paul | 4–15 | 21.05% |
| Toasty vs Victor | 8–10 | 44.44% |
| Toasty vs Devil Jin | 8–9 | 47.06% |
| Toasty vs Jun | 6–11 | 35.29% |
| Toasty vs Law | 8–8 | 50.00% |
| Toasty vs Jack-8 | 8–8 | 50.00% |
| Toasty vs Leo | 9–6 | 60.00% |
| Toasty vs Kuma | 7–7 | 50.00% |
| Toasty vs Asuka | 6–7 | 46.15% |
| Toasty vs Lars | 8–5 | 61.54% |
| Toasty vs Alisa | 5–8 | 38.46% |
| Toasty vs Xiaoyu | 7–5 | 58.33% |
| Toasty vs Nina | 3–7 | 30.00% |
| Toasty vs Eddy | 1–8 | 11.11% |
| Toasty vs Feng | 6–2 | 75.00% |
| Toasty vs Leroy | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| Toasty vs Shaheen | 0–5 | 0.00% |
| Toasty vs Raven | 0–5 | 0.00% |
| Toasty vs Claudio | 0–4 | 0.00% |
| Toasty vs Panda | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Toasty vs Zafina | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.