| COINCIDENCE vs Reina | 13–6 | 68.42% |
| COINCIDENCE vs Lili | 9–7 | 56.25% |
| COINCIDENCE vs Victor | 4–5 | 44.44% |
| COINCIDENCE vs Hwoarang | 1–7 | 12.50% |
| COINCIDENCE vs King | 0–6 | 0.00% |
| COINCIDENCE vs Yoshimitsu | 5–1 | 83.33% |
| COINCIDENCE vs Bryan | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| COINCIDENCE vs Dragunov | 4–1 | 80.00% |
| COINCIDENCE vs Lars | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| COINCIDENCE vs Alisa | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| COINCIDENCE vs Eddy | 0–5 | 0.00% |
| COINCIDENCE vs Heihachi | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| COINCIDENCE vs Kazuya | 3–1 | 75.00% |
| COINCIDENCE vs Leo | 1–3 | 25.00% |
| COINCIDENCE vs Asuka | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| COINCIDENCE vs Shaheen | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| COINCIDENCE vs Jun | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| COINCIDENCE vs Azucena | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| COINCIDENCE vs Raven | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| COINCIDENCE vs Law | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| COINCIDENCE vs Xiaoyu | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| COINCIDENCE vs Jin | 1–1 | 50.00% |
| COINCIDENCE vs Steve | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| COINCIDENCE vs Jack-8 | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| COINCIDENCE vs Kuma | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| COINCIDENCE vs Zafina | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| COINCIDENCE vs Feng | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| COINCIDENCE vs Claudio | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| COINCIDENCE vs Nina | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| COINCIDENCE vs Panda | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| COINCIDENCE vs Leroy | 1–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.