| Rafa vs King | 62–80 | 43.66% |
| Rafa vs Jin | 68–74 | 47.89% |
| Rafa vs Dragunov | 63–68 | 48.09% |
| Rafa vs Kazuya | 57–69 | 45.24% |
| Rafa vs Hwoarang | 49–68 | 41.88% |
| Rafa vs Reina | 58–50 | 53.70% |
| Rafa vs Law | 58–44 | 56.86% |
| Rafa vs Paul | 55–45 | 55.00% |
| Rafa vs Bryan | 44–54 | 44.90% |
| Rafa vs Yoshimitsu | 51–38 | 57.30% |
| Rafa vs Lili | 60–26 | 69.77% |
| Rafa vs Eddy | 37–44 | 45.68% |
| Rafa vs Steve | 41–39 | 51.25% |
| Rafa vs Devil Jin | 23–40 | 36.51% |
| Rafa vs Alisa | 25–32 | 43.86% |
| Rafa vs Lars | 26–30 | 46.43% |
| Rafa vs Jun | 24–30 | 44.44% |
| Rafa vs Asuka | 25–26 | 49.02% |
| Rafa vs Victor | 28–21 | 57.14% |
| Rafa vs Feng | 19–29 | 39.58% |
| Rafa vs Nina | 32–16 | 66.67% |
| Rafa vs Xiaoyu | 26–21 | 55.32% |
| Rafa vs Azucena | 27–17 | 61.36% |
| Rafa vs Claudio | 14–26 | 35.00% |
| Rafa vs Leroy | 23–16 | 58.97% |
| Rafa vs Lee | 13–24 | 35.14% |
| Rafa vs Leo | 15–21 | 41.67% |
| Rafa vs Raven | 16–20 | 44.44% |
| Rafa vs Zafina | 14–18 | 43.75% |
| Rafa vs Jack-8 | 4–18 | 18.18% |
| Rafa vs Shaheen | 2–17 | 10.53% |
| Rafa vs Kuma | 10–5 | 66.67% |
| Rafa vs Lidia | 9–4 | 69.23% |
| Rafa vs Panda | 5–7 | 41.67% |
| Rafa vs Anna | 5–5 | 50.00% |
| Rafa vs Heihachi | 5–2 | 71.43% |
| Rafa vs Clive | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| Rafa vs Armor King | 1–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.