| cake vs Kazuya | 99–68 | 59.28% |
| cake vs Jin | 80–86 | 48.19% |
| cake vs Law | 77–70 | 52.38% |
| cake vs King | 85–59 | 59.03% |
| cake vs Bryan | 68–75 | 47.55% |
| cake vs Hwoarang | 63–71 | 47.01% |
| cake vs Steve | 56–56 | 50.00% |
| cake vs Lars | 59–50 | 54.13% |
| cake vs Clive | 40–69 | 36.70% |
| cake vs Yoshimitsu | 53–51 | 50.96% |
| cake vs Paul | 45–42 | 51.72% |
| cake vs Reina | 43–43–1 | 50.00% |
| cake vs Dragunov | 42–44 | 48.84% |
| cake vs Xiaoyu | 36–41 | 46.75% |
| cake vs Lili | 35–40 | 46.67% |
| cake vs Victor | 43–31 | 58.11% |
| cake vs Eddy | 31–34 | 47.69% |
| cake vs Asuka | 37–27 | 57.81% |
| cake vs Lee | 22–40 | 35.48% |
| cake vs Nina | 31–30 | 50.82% |
| cake vs Feng | 31–29 | 51.67% |
| cake vs Azucena | 30–29 | 50.85% |
| cake vs Raven | 31–24 | 56.36% |
| cake vs Heihachi | 22–31 | 41.51% |
| cake vs Jun | 19–32–1 | 37.25% |
| cake vs Devil Jin | 26–21 | 55.32% |
| cake vs Alisa | 18–29 | 38.30% |
| cake vs Leo | 18–27 | 40.00% |
| cake vs Leroy | 21–19 | 52.50% |
| cake vs Jack-8 | 22–17 | 56.41% |
| cake vs Kuma | 24–13 | 64.86% |
| cake vs Lidia | 14–21 | 40.00% |
| cake vs Zafina | 10–16 | 38.46% |
| cake vs Shaheen | 14–11 | 56.00% |
| cake vs Claudio | 7–11 | 38.89% |
| cake vs Armor King | 7–1 | 87.50% |
| cake vs Panda | 0–4 | 0.00% |
| cake vs Anna | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.