| Chance vs Asuka | 25–5 | 83.33% |
| Chance vs Bryan | 18–5 | 78.26% |
| Chance vs Hwoarang | 11–8 | 57.89% |
| Chance vs King | 15–3 | 83.33% |
| Chance vs Kazuya | 16–2 | 88.89% |
| Chance vs Dragunov | 12–6 | 66.67% |
| Chance vs Jin | 12–4 | 75.00% |
| Chance vs Leo | 12–3 | 80.00% |
| Chance vs Victor | 13–2 | 86.67% |
| Chance vs Heihachi | 10–5 | 66.67% |
| Chance vs Paul | 12–2 | 85.71% |
| Chance vs Reina | 11–3 | 78.57% |
| Chance vs Raven | 10–3 | 76.92% |
| Chance vs Yoshimitsu | 12–0 | 100.00% |
| Chance vs Nina | 8–3 | 72.73% |
| Chance vs Steve | 9–1 | 90.00% |
| Chance vs Lars | 8–2 | 80.00% |
| Chance vs Shaheen | 8–2 | 80.00% |
| Chance vs Lee | 4–6 | 40.00% |
| Chance vs Azucena | 8–2 | 80.00% |
| Chance vs Xiaoyu | 3–6 | 33.33% |
| Chance vs Claudio | 5–4 | 55.56% |
| Chance vs Zafina | 8–1 | 88.89% |
| Chance vs Feng | 7–1 | 87.50% |
| Chance vs Law | 4–2 | 66.67% |
| Chance vs Jack-8 | 5–1 | 83.33% |
| Chance vs Eddy | 5–1 | 83.33% |
| Chance vs Devil Jin | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| Chance vs Lili | 4–1 | 80.00% |
| Chance vs Fahkumram | 5–0 | 100.00% |
| Chance vs Leroy | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Chance vs Anna | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Chance vs Alisa | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Chance vs Jun | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Chance vs Lidia | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Chance vs Clive | 0–2 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.