| Celestial vs Kazuya | 485–482 | 50.16% |
| Celestial vs Bryan | 398–336 | 54.22% |
| Celestial vs Jin | 368–355 | 50.90% |
| Celestial vs Heihachi | 273–218 | 55.60% |
| Celestial vs Hwoarang | 223–219 | 50.45% |
| Celestial vs King | 213–228 | 48.30% |
| Celestial vs Reina | 212–212 | 50.00% |
| Celestial vs Steve | 190–185 | 50.67% |
| Celestial vs Dragunov | 190–184 | 50.80% |
| Celestial vs Law | 182–179 | 50.42% |
| Celestial vs Paul | 173–184 | 48.46% |
| Celestial vs Lee | 146–182 | 44.51% |
| Celestial vs Devil Jin | 159–151 | 51.29% |
| Celestial vs Lili | 151–147 | 50.67% |
| Celestial vs Yoshimitsu | 133–137 | 49.26% |
| Celestial vs Lars | 125–117 | 51.65% |
| Celestial vs Azucena | 136–101 | 57.38% |
| Celestial vs Asuka | 106–127 | 45.49% |
| Celestial vs Nina | 114–113 | 50.22% |
| Celestial vs Lidia | 86–126 | 40.57% |
| Celestial vs Victor | 113–95 | 54.33% |
| Celestial vs Armor King | 105–103 | 50.48% |
| Celestial vs Jun | 96–105 | 47.76% |
| Celestial vs Feng | 88–93 | 48.62% |
| Celestial vs Claudio | 99–80 | 55.31% |
| Celestial vs Jack-8 | 75–98 | 43.35% |
| Celestial vs Eddy | 63–100 | 38.65% |
| Celestial vs Alisa | 68–93 | 42.24% |
| Celestial vs Raven | 82–79 | 50.93% |
| Celestial vs Clive | 60–98–1 | 37.97% |
| Celestial vs Anna | 76–79–1 | 49.03% |
| Celestial vs Xiaoyu | 85–68 | 55.56% |
| Celestial vs Leo | 61–80 | 43.26% |
| Celestial vs Leroy | 57–76 | 42.86% |
| Celestial vs Zafina | 53–47 | 53.00% |
| Celestial vs Shaheen | 39–59 | 39.80% |
| Celestial vs Fahkumram | 32–48 | 40.00% |
| Celestial vs Miary Zo | 32–36 | 47.06% |
| Celestial vs Kuma | 36–25 | 59.02% |
| Celestial vs Panda | 21–25 | 45.65% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.