| muffin man vs Jin | 24–16 | 60.00% |
| muffin man vs Kazuya | 16–17 | 48.48% |
| muffin man vs Reina | 18–10 | 64.29% |
| muffin man vs Dragunov | 14–11 | 56.00% |
| muffin man vs Yoshimitsu | 12–7 | 63.16% |
| muffin man vs Steve | 12–6 | 66.67% |
| muffin man vs Hwoarang | 12–5 | 70.59% |
| muffin man vs Jun | 8–9 | 47.06% |
| muffin man vs Eddy | 8–9 | 47.06% |
| muffin man vs Asuka | 5–11 | 31.25% |
| muffin man vs Law | 4–10 | 28.57% |
| muffin man vs Lili | 6–8 | 42.86% |
| muffin man vs Paul | 4–8 | 33.33% |
| muffin man vs Devil Jin | 5–7 | 41.67% |
| muffin man vs Azucena | 7–5 | 58.33% |
| muffin man vs Jack-8 | 6–5 | 54.55% |
| muffin man vs Lidia | 4–7 | 36.36% |
| muffin man vs King | 3–6 | 33.33% |
| muffin man vs Nina | 5–4 | 55.56% |
| muffin man vs Heihachi | 4–5 | 44.44% |
| muffin man vs Feng | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| muffin man vs Lars | 2–6 | 25.00% |
| muffin man vs Alisa | 3–5 | 37.50% |
| muffin man vs Lee | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| muffin man vs Victor | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| muffin man vs Bryan | 3–4 | 42.86% |
| muffin man vs Claudio | 4–3 | 57.14% |
| muffin man vs Leroy | 4–1 | 80.00% |
| muffin man vs Xiaoyu | 4–0 | 100.00% |
| muffin man vs Shaheen | 1–1 | 50.00% |
| muffin man vs Panda | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| muffin man vs Zafina | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| muffin man vs Leo | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| muffin man vs Kuma | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| muffin man vs Raven | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.