| sake vs Jin | 65–98 | 39.88% |
| sake vs Dragunov | 69–81 | 46.00% |
| sake vs King | 67–78 | 46.21% |
| sake vs Kazuya | 60–67 | 47.24% |
| sake vs Reina | 69–57 | 54.76% |
| sake vs Bryan | 51–71–1 | 41.80% |
| sake vs Paul | 46–62 | 42.59% |
| sake vs Victor | 41–64 | 39.05% |
| sake vs Steve | 40–42 | 48.78% |
| sake vs Lili | 19–52 | 26.76% |
| sake vs Devil Jin | 28–38 | 42.42% |
| sake vs Hwoarang | 24–39 | 38.10% |
| sake vs Jun | 30–30 | 50.00% |
| sake vs Law | 30–29 | 50.85% |
| sake vs Leroy | 27–30 | 47.37% |
| sake vs Azucena | 20–36 | 35.71% |
| sake vs Yoshimitsu | 22–31 | 41.51% |
| sake vs Alisa | 22–27 | 44.90% |
| sake vs Asuka | 25–22 | 53.19% |
| sake vs Feng | 17–26 | 39.53% |
| sake vs Eddy | 13–27 | 32.50% |
| sake vs Xiaoyu | 17–22 | 43.59% |
| sake vs Leo | 13–22 | 37.14% |
| sake vs Jack-8 | 16–18 | 47.06% |
| sake vs Shaheen | 14–20 | 41.18% |
| sake vs Lee | 15–17 | 46.88% |
| sake vs Nina | 12–19 | 38.71% |
| sake vs Kuma | 8–21 | 27.59% |
| sake vs Lars | 11–16 | 40.74% |
| sake vs Claudio | 7–20 | 25.93% |
| sake vs Lidia | 10–9 | 52.63% |
| sake vs Raven | 6–11 | 35.29% |
| sake vs Zafina | 6–10 | 37.50% |
| sake vs Heihachi | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| sake vs Panda | 1–4 | 20.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.