| Toaster vs King | 99–106 | 48.29% |
| Toaster vs Bryan | 94–101 | 48.21% |
| Toaster vs Jin | 89–72 | 55.28% |
| Toaster vs Kazuya | 89–58 | 60.54% |
| Toaster vs Dragunov | 65–67 | 49.24% |
| Toaster vs Hwoarang | 51–51 | 50.00% |
| Toaster vs Paul | 44–43 | 50.57% |
| Toaster vs Nina | 45–33 | 57.69% |
| Toaster vs Law | 36–39 | 48.00% |
| Toaster vs Reina | 42–29 | 59.15% |
| Toaster vs Azucena | 27–38 | 41.54% |
| Toaster vs Yoshimitsu | 29–33 | 46.77% |
| Toaster vs Heihachi | 32–23 | 58.18% |
| Toaster vs Devil Jin | 30–24 | 55.56% |
| Toaster vs Victor | 23–27 | 46.00% |
| Toaster vs Lili | 28–21 | 57.14% |
| Toaster vs Feng | 29–19 | 60.42% |
| Toaster vs Alisa | 27–15 | 64.29% |
| Toaster vs Asuka | 24–17 | 58.54% |
| Toaster vs Claudio | 17–22 | 43.59% |
| Toaster vs Eddy | 18–21 | 46.15% |
| Toaster vs Xiaoyu | 16–18 | 47.06% |
| Toaster vs Lars | 21–12 | 63.64% |
| Toaster vs Steve | 14–18 | 43.75% |
| Toaster vs Jun | 21–10 | 67.74% |
| Toaster vs Jack-8 | 12–14 | 46.15% |
| Toaster vs Leroy | 12–13 | 48.00% |
| Toaster vs Lee | 11–13 | 45.83% |
| Toaster vs Zafina | 14–10 | 58.33% |
| Toaster vs Shaheen | 8–12 | 40.00% |
| Toaster vs Lidia | 9–10 | 47.37% |
| Toaster vs Leo | 6–11 | 35.29% |
| Toaster vs Kuma | 9–7 | 56.25% |
| Toaster vs Raven | 8–6 | 57.14% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.