| Varela vs Law | 2–7 | 22.22% |
| Varela vs King | 3–6 | 33.33% |
| Varela vs Yoshimitsu | 5–4 | 55.56% |
| Varela vs Bryan | 2–7 | 22.22% |
| Varela vs Steve | 3–4 | 42.86% |
| Varela vs Alisa | 2–5 | 28.57% |
| Varela vs Jack-8 | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Varela vs Kazuya | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| Varela vs Dragunov | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| Varela vs Nina | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| Varela vs Lidia | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| Varela vs Hwoarang | 1–3 | 25.00% |
| Varela vs Asuka | 0–4 | 0.00% |
| Varela vs Paul | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Varela vs Lars | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Varela vs Azucena | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Varela vs Victor | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Varela vs Clive | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Varela vs Devil Jin | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Varela vs Lee | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Varela vs Panda | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Varela vs Leroy | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Varela vs Reina | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Varela vs Eddy | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Varela vs Heihachi | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Varela vs Armor King | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Varela vs Jin | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| Varela vs Claudio | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| Varela vs Shaheen | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| Varela vs Fahkumram | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.