| Tokugawa vs Kazuya | 151–157 | 49.03% |
| Tokugawa vs King | 125–141 | 46.99% |
| Tokugawa vs Jin | 112–147 | 43.24% |
| Tokugawa vs Bryan | 112–105 | 51.61% |
| Tokugawa vs Hwoarang | 76–106 | 41.76% |
| Tokugawa vs Law | 85–82 | 50.90% |
| Tokugawa vs Reina | 77–81 | 48.73% |
| Tokugawa vs Steve | 83–70 | 54.25% |
| Tokugawa vs Armor King | 61–88 | 40.94% |
| Tokugawa vs Lili | 52–71 | 42.28% |
| Tokugawa vs Dragunov | 46–61 | 42.99% |
| Tokugawa vs Yoshimitsu | 41–59 | 41.00% |
| Tokugawa vs Paul | 59–39 | 60.20% |
| Tokugawa vs Asuka | 51–45 | 53.12% |
| Tokugawa vs Lee | 35–53 | 39.77% |
| Tokugawa vs Devil Jin | 49–30 | 62.03% |
| Tokugawa vs Eddy | 44–32 | 57.89% |
| Tokugawa vs Xiaoyu | 36–35 | 50.70% |
| Tokugawa vs Jun | 34–35 | 49.28% |
| Tokugawa vs Victor | 30–37 | 44.78% |
| Tokugawa vs Azucena | 35–30 | 53.85% |
| Tokugawa vs Heihachi | 23–40 | 36.51% |
| Tokugawa vs Feng | 33–26 | 55.93% |
| Tokugawa vs Alisa | 24–35 | 40.68% |
| Tokugawa vs Lars | 24–30 | 44.44% |
| Tokugawa vs Nina | 24–24 | 50.00% |
| Tokugawa vs Leroy | 24–24 | 50.00% |
| Tokugawa vs Lidia | 19–26 | 42.22% |
| Tokugawa vs Raven | 18–23 | 43.90% |
| Tokugawa vs Jack-8 | 22–18 | 55.00% |
| Tokugawa vs Clive | 14–23 | 37.84% |
| Tokugawa vs Fahkumram | 17–18 | 48.57% |
| Tokugawa vs Claudio | 11–23 | 32.35% |
| Tokugawa vs Shaheen | 15–19 | 44.12% |
| Tokugawa vs Leo | 15–17 | 46.88% |
| Tokugawa vs Kuma | 9–22 | 29.03% |
| Tokugawa vs Anna | 17–9 | 65.38% |
| Tokugawa vs Zafina | 8–15 | 34.78% |
| Tokugawa vs Panda | 7–5 | 58.33% |
| Tokugawa vs Miary Zo | 6–5 | 54.55% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.