| Surprise_321 vs Kazuya | 171–169–1 | 50.29% |
| Surprise_321 vs Jin | 165–148 | 52.72% |
| Surprise_321 vs King | 122–118 | 50.83% |
| Surprise_321 vs Bryan | 111–123 | 47.44% |
| Surprise_321 vs Hwoarang | 125–106 | 54.11% |
| Surprise_321 vs Heihachi | 85–127 | 40.09% |
| Surprise_321 vs Law | 84–116 | 42.00% |
| Surprise_321 vs Steve | 100–99 | 50.25% |
| Surprise_321 vs Reina | 88–96 | 47.83% |
| Surprise_321 vs Paul | 65–91 | 41.67% |
| Surprise_321 vs Armor King | 56–76 | 42.42% |
| Surprise_321 vs Lili | 70–52 | 57.38% |
| Surprise_321 vs Yoshimitsu | 49–66 | 42.61% |
| Surprise_321 vs Dragunov | 52–58 | 47.27% |
| Surprise_321 vs Lee | 50–54 | 48.08% |
| Surprise_321 vs Fahkumram | 34–59 | 36.56% |
| Surprise_321 vs Devil Jin | 44–39 | 53.01% |
| Surprise_321 vs Nina | 51–32 | 61.45% |
| Surprise_321 vs Jun | 50–33 | 60.24% |
| Surprise_321 vs Asuka | 36–44 | 45.00% |
| Surprise_321 vs Feng | 36–43 | 45.57% |
| Surprise_321 vs Lars | 49–28 | 63.64% |
| Surprise_321 vs Eddy | 39–35 | 52.70% |
| Surprise_321 vs Xiaoyu | 28–41–1 | 40.58% |
| Surprise_321 vs Azucena | 36–32 | 52.94% |
| Surprise_321 vs Victor | 27–29 | 48.21% |
| Surprise_321 vs Jack-8 | 21–33 | 38.89% |
| Surprise_321 vs Clive | 23–31 | 42.59% |
| Surprise_321 vs Alisa | 28–24 | 53.85% |
| Surprise_321 vs Claudio | 22–21 | 51.16% |
| Surprise_321 vs Anna | 25–16 | 60.98% |
| Surprise_321 vs Leroy | 18–22 | 45.00% |
| Surprise_321 vs Raven | 20–20 | 50.00% |
| Surprise_321 vs Lidia | 26–13 | 66.67% |
| Surprise_321 vs Miary Zo | 16–15 | 51.61% |
| Surprise_321 vs Leo | 14–16 | 46.67% |
| Surprise_321 vs Kuma | 15–11 | 57.69% |
| Surprise_321 vs Zafina | 10–12 | 45.45% |
| Surprise_321 vs Shaheen | 5–9 | 35.71% |
| Surprise_321 vs Panda | 0–4 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.