| Messiah vs Jin | 10–14 | 41.67% |
| Messiah vs Kazuya | 12–6 | 66.67% |
| Messiah vs Reina | 15–3 | 83.33% |
| Messiah vs Steve | 7–7 | 50.00% |
| Messiah vs Hwoarang | 5–8 | 38.46% |
| Messiah vs Lili | 6–6 | 50.00% |
| Messiah vs Asuka | 5–6 | 45.45% |
| Messiah vs Devil Jin | 5–6 | 45.45% |
| Messiah vs Leo | 6–5 | 54.55% |
| Messiah vs Eddy | 6–5 | 54.55% |
| Messiah vs Paul | 6–4 | 60.00% |
| Messiah vs Yoshimitsu | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| Messiah vs Jun | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| Messiah vs Bryan | 4–3 | 57.14% |
| Messiah vs Law | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Messiah vs King | 4–2 | 66.67% |
| Messiah vs Lars | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Messiah vs Jack-8 | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Messiah vs Leroy | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Messiah vs Victor | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Messiah vs Xiaoyu | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Messiah vs Feng | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Messiah vs Dragunov | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Messiah vs Claudio | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Messiah vs Shaheen | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Messiah vs Kuma | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Messiah vs Panda | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Messiah vs Azucena | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Messiah vs Clive | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Messiah vs Anna | 0–2 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.