| Tonic vs Kazuya | 942–828 | 53.22% |
| Tonic vs Jin | 744–717 | 50.92% |
| Tonic vs Bryan | 726–716 | 50.35% |
| Tonic vs Hwoarang | 767–647 | 54.24% |
| Tonic vs King | 664–639 | 50.96% |
| Tonic vs Lee | 622–681 | 47.74% |
| Tonic vs Dragunov | 594–577 | 50.73% |
| Tonic vs Heihachi | 523–610 | 46.16% |
| Tonic vs Paul | 640–482 | 57.04% |
| Tonic vs Law | 607–511 | 54.29% |
| Tonic vs Steve | 472–483 | 49.42% |
| Tonic vs Yoshimitsu | 474–459 | 50.80% |
| Tonic vs Devil Jin | 469–436 | 51.82% |
| Tonic vs Reina | 456–430 | 51.47% |
| Tonic vs Lars | 416–444 | 48.37% |
| Tonic vs Feng | 435–361 | 54.65% |
| Tonic vs Lili | 347–408 | 45.96% |
| Tonic vs Asuka | 396–354 | 52.80% |
| Tonic vs Azucena | 383–334 | 53.42% |
| Tonic vs Alisa | 293–321 | 47.72% |
| Tonic vs Raven | 280–308 | 47.62% |
| Tonic vs Nina | 276–309 | 47.18% |
| Tonic vs Jack-8 | 267–307 | 46.52% |
| Tonic vs Claudio | 249–260 | 48.92% |
| Tonic vs Shaheen | 232–240–1 | 49.15% |
| Tonic vs Anna | 245–216 | 53.15% |
| Tonic vs Leo | 205–227 | 47.45% |
| Tonic vs Victor | 194–207 | 48.38% |
| Tonic vs Leroy | 200–199 | 50.13% |
| Tonic vs Lidia | 176–210 | 45.60% |
| Tonic vs Jun | 163–210 | 43.70% |
| Tonic vs Zafina | 190–182 | 51.08% |
| Tonic vs Xiaoyu | 155–185–1 | 45.59% |
| Tonic vs Armor King | 184–139 | 56.97% |
| Tonic vs Fahkumram | 135–143 | 48.56% |
| Tonic vs Eddy | 114–159 | 41.76% |
| Tonic vs Kuma | 65–131 | 33.16% |
| Tonic vs Clive | 71–113 | 38.59% |
| Tonic vs Panda | 35–67–1 | 34.31% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.