| Casual vs Kazuya | 318–322 | 49.69% |
| Casual vs Jin | 274–291 | 48.50% |
| Casual vs Bryan | 260–294 | 46.93% |
| Casual vs Hwoarang | 208–236 | 46.85% |
| Casual vs Reina | 218–180 | 54.77% |
| Casual vs King | 198–193 | 50.64% |
| Casual vs Heihachi | 180–197 | 47.75% |
| Casual vs Paul | 125–181 | 40.85% |
| Casual vs Dragunov | 160–143 | 52.81% |
| Casual vs Yoshimitsu | 115–171 | 40.21% |
| Casual vs Law | 125–151 | 45.29% |
| Casual vs Devil Jin | 124–151 | 45.09% |
| Casual vs Steve | 116–156 | 42.65% |
| Casual vs Lee | 139–125 | 52.65% |
| Casual vs Lili | 145–113 | 56.20% |
| Casual vs Feng | 122–101 | 54.71% |
| Casual vs Asuka | 130–87 | 59.91% |
| Casual vs Xiaoyu | 84–115 | 42.21% |
| Casual vs Lars | 102–90 | 53.12% |
| Casual vs Lidia | 102–86 | 54.26% |
| Casual vs Fahkumram | 70–98 | 41.67% |
| Casual vs Nina | 64–96 | 40.00% |
| Casual vs Eddy | 75–85 | 46.88% |
| Casual vs Victor | 82–77 | 51.57% |
| Casual vs Raven | 73–86 | 45.91% |
| Casual vs Jun | 75–82 | 47.77% |
| Casual vs Azucena | 82–73 | 52.90% |
| Casual vs Alisa | 76–75 | 50.33% |
| Casual vs Jack-8 | 74–74 | 50.00% |
| Casual vs Clive | 66–82 | 44.59% |
| Casual vs Anna | 68–68 | 50.00% |
| Casual vs Leroy | 69–64 | 51.88% |
| Casual vs Leo | 61–69 | 46.92% |
| Casual vs Claudio | 65–62 | 51.18% |
| Casual vs Armor King | 53–50 | 51.46% |
| Casual vs Zafina | 42–49 | 46.15% |
| Casual vs Shaheen | 26–44 | 37.14% |
| Casual vs Kuma | 26–29 | 47.27% |
| Casual vs Panda | 30–18 | 62.50% |
| Casual vs Miary Zo | 12–20 | 37.50% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.