| Outsider vs Kazuya | 18–32 | 36.00% |
| Outsider vs Law | 19–21 | 47.50% |
| Outsider vs Jin | 21–13 | 61.76% |
| Outsider vs Steve | 21–12 | 63.64% |
| Outsider vs Reina | 16–15 | 51.61% |
| Outsider vs Bryan | 15–12 | 55.56% |
| Outsider vs Dragunov | 16–11 | 59.26% |
| Outsider vs Azucena | 15–11 | 57.69% |
| Outsider vs Armor King | 11–15 | 42.31% |
| Outsider vs Eddy | 8–17 | 32.00% |
| Outsider vs Paul | 9–14 | 39.13% |
| Outsider vs Lili | 14–9 | 60.87% |
| Outsider vs Hwoarang | 8–11 | 42.11% |
| Outsider vs Asuka | 12–6 | 66.67% |
| Outsider vs Devil Jin | 9–8 | 52.94% |
| Outsider vs Lee | 9–8 | 52.94% |
| Outsider vs King | 12–4 | 75.00% |
| Outsider vs Heihachi | 3–13 | 18.75% |
| Outsider vs Lars | 12–3 | 80.00% |
| Outsider vs Yoshimitsu | 10–4 | 71.43% |
| Outsider vs Clive | 8–6 | 57.14% |
| Outsider vs Victor | 4–9 | 30.77% |
| Outsider vs Fahkumram | 5–8 | 38.46% |
| Outsider vs Alisa | 6–6 | 50.00% |
| Outsider vs Jack-8 | 5–6 | 45.45% |
| Outsider vs Jun | 6–5 | 54.55% |
| Outsider vs Kuma | 3–6 | 33.33% |
| Outsider vs Leo | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| Outsider vs Claudio | 3–5 | 37.50% |
| Outsider vs Nina | 6–2 | 75.00% |
| Outsider vs Xiaoyu | 4–3 | 57.14% |
| Outsider vs Feng | 7–0 | 100.00% |
| Outsider vs Lidia | 4–3 | 57.14% |
| Outsider vs Leroy | 1–5 | 16.67% |
| Outsider vs Raven | 6–0 | 100.00% |
| Outsider vs Anna | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Outsider vs Zafina | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| Outsider vs Shaheen | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Outsider vs Miary Zo | 0–2 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.