| MoonTheory vs Heihachi | 12–28 | 30.00% |
| MoonTheory vs King | 18–16 | 52.94% |
| MoonTheory vs Steve | 13–18 | 41.94% |
| MoonTheory vs Bryan | 14–16 | 46.67% |
| MoonTheory vs Reina | 12–18 | 40.00% |
| MoonTheory vs Paul | 11–16 | 40.74% |
| MoonTheory vs Lili | 10–17 | 37.04% |
| MoonTheory vs Clive | 18–9 | 66.67% |
| MoonTheory vs Victor | 19–7 | 73.08% |
| MoonTheory vs Jin | 11–14 | 44.00% |
| MoonTheory vs Law | 5–16 | 23.81% |
| MoonTheory vs Kazuya | 10–11 | 47.62% |
| MoonTheory vs Lars | 9–9 | 50.00% |
| MoonTheory vs Hwoarang | 3–12 | 20.00% |
| MoonTheory vs Lee | 7–8 | 46.67% |
| MoonTheory vs Leroy | 6–8 | 42.86% |
| MoonTheory vs Dragunov | 5–6 | 45.45% |
| MoonTheory vs Nina | 5–6 | 45.45% |
| MoonTheory vs Lidia | 6–5 | 54.55% |
| MoonTheory vs Kuma | 2–8 | 20.00% |
| MoonTheory vs Xiaoyu | 8–1 | 88.89% |
| MoonTheory vs Devil Jin | 3–6 | 33.33% |
| MoonTheory vs Leo | 6–3 | 66.67% |
| MoonTheory vs Shaheen | 6–3 | 66.67% |
| MoonTheory vs Eddy | 0–9 | 0.00% |
| MoonTheory vs Asuka | 3–5 | 37.50% |
| MoonTheory vs Claudio | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| MoonTheory vs Armor King | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| MoonTheory vs Feng | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| MoonTheory vs Azucena | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| MoonTheory vs Anna | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| MoonTheory vs Miary Zo | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| MoonTheory vs Yoshimitsu | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| MoonTheory vs Jun | 4–0 | 100.00% |
| MoonTheory vs Raven | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| MoonTheory vs Fahkumram | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| MoonTheory vs Zafina | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| MoonTheory vs Alisa | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| MoonTheory vs Jack-8 | 1–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.