| Outsider vs Kazuya | 129–100 | 56.33% |
| Outsider vs Jin | 90–106 | 45.92% |
| Outsider vs King | 84–86 | 49.41% |
| Outsider vs Bryan | 74–72 | 50.68% |
| Outsider vs Reina | 69–76 | 47.59% |
| Outsider vs Dragunov | 60–79 | 43.17% |
| Outsider vs Lili | 54–59 | 47.79% |
| Outsider vs Hwoarang | 42–70 | 37.50% |
| Outsider vs Lidia | 37–48 | 43.53% |
| Outsider vs Paul | 28–47 | 37.33% |
| Outsider vs Law | 30–42 | 41.67% |
| Outsider vs Devil Jin | 32–39 | 45.07% |
| Outsider vs Steve | 35–34 | 50.72% |
| Outsider vs Lars | 34–35 | 49.28% |
| Outsider vs Asuka | 21–45 | 31.82% |
| Outsider vs Lee | 32–32 | 50.00% |
| Outsider vs Yoshimitsu | 25–38 | 39.68% |
| Outsider vs Xiaoyu | 23–40 | 36.51% |
| Outsider vs Nina | 27–35 | 43.55% |
| Outsider vs Feng | 18–42 | 30.00% |
| Outsider vs Leroy | 29–31 | 48.33% |
| Outsider vs Azucena | 29–29 | 50.00% |
| Outsider vs Alisa | 32–23 | 58.18% |
| Outsider vs Jun | 23–31–1 | 42.59% |
| Outsider vs Victor | 21–31 | 40.38% |
| Outsider vs Eddy | 20–24 | 45.45% |
| Outsider vs Leo | 13–30 | 30.23% |
| Outsider vs Kuma | 22–20 | 52.38% |
| Outsider vs Heihachi | 17–21 | 44.74% |
| Outsider vs Jack-8 | 17–15 | 53.12% |
| Outsider vs Claudio | 16–14 | 53.33% |
| Outsider vs Raven | 12–17 | 41.38% |
| Outsider vs Clive | 8–21 | 27.59% |
| Outsider vs Shaheen | 8–16 | 33.33% |
| Outsider vs Zafina | 9–12 | 42.86% |
| Outsider vs Panda | 5–8 | 38.46% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.