| ThirstyLantern vs Kazuya | 397–455 | 46.60% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Jin | 299–391 | 43.33% |
| ThirstyLantern vs King | 316–362 | 46.61% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Bryan | 318–356 | 47.18% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Heihachi | 298–333 | 47.23% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Reina | 267–291 | 47.85% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Steve | 260–276 | 48.51% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Law | 192–275 | 41.11% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Hwoarang | 206–252 | 44.98% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Dragunov | 200–200 | 50.00% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Lee | 173–227 | 43.25% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Paul | 145–213 | 40.50% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Jun | 145–181 | 44.48% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Azucena | 152–168 | 47.50% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Lidia | 152–163 | 48.25% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Lili | 135–175 | 43.55% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Lars | 139–164 | 45.87% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Clive | 142–160 | 47.02% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Asuka | 117–162 | 41.94% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Yoshimitsu | 129–149 | 46.40% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Xiaoyu | 113–141 | 44.49% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Nina | 118–128 | 47.97% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Raven | 110–129 | 46.03% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Devil Jin | 98–134 | 42.24% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Eddy | 108–124 | 46.55% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Armor King | 113–116 | 49.34% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Victor | 104–118 | 46.85% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Feng | 97–123 | 44.09% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Leo | 91–89 | 50.56% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Alisa | 63–98 | 39.13% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Fahkumram | 63–98 | 39.13% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Claudio | 68–89 | 43.31% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Leroy | 56–99 | 36.13% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Jack-8 | 58–94–1 | 38.16% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Anna | 63–76 | 45.32% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Shaheen | 53–66 | 44.54% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Zafina | 36–58 | 38.30% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Kuma | 35–52 | 40.23% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Miary Zo | 26–36 | 41.94% |
| ThirstyLantern vs Panda | 10–16 | 38.46% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.