| TherealObama vs Kazuya | 25–18 | 58.14% |
| TherealObama vs Reina | 31–12 | 72.09% |
| TherealObama vs Nina | 19–16 | 54.29% |
| TherealObama vs Jin | 18–15 | 54.55% |
| TherealObama vs Steve | 21–11 | 65.62% |
| TherealObama vs King | 22–9 | 70.97% |
| TherealObama vs Hwoarang | 15–11 | 57.69% |
| TherealObama vs Heihachi | 15–11 | 57.69% |
| TherealObama vs Asuka | 16–9 | 64.00% |
| TherealObama vs Yoshimitsu | 13–9 | 59.09% |
| TherealObama vs Lili | 15–7 | 68.18% |
| TherealObama vs Jun | 15–5 | 75.00% |
| TherealObama vs Law | 12–7 | 63.16% |
| TherealObama vs Devil Jin | 13–5 | 72.22% |
| TherealObama vs Bryan | 12–4 | 75.00% |
| TherealObama vs Dragunov | 10–6 | 62.50% |
| TherealObama vs Clive | 12–4 | 75.00% |
| TherealObama vs Paul | 8–6 | 57.14% |
| TherealObama vs Lars | 9–5 | 64.29% |
| TherealObama vs Azucena | 9–5 | 64.29% |
| TherealObama vs Lidia | 7–6 | 53.85% |
| TherealObama vs Jack-8 | 7–4 | 63.64% |
| TherealObama vs Claudio | 6–5 | 54.55% |
| TherealObama vs Lee | 7–4 | 63.64% |
| TherealObama vs Eddy | 7–4 | 63.64% |
| TherealObama vs Shaheen | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| TherealObama vs Victor | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| TherealObama vs Raven | 6–2 | 75.00% |
| TherealObama vs Feng | 1–5 | 16.67% |
| TherealObama vs Kuma | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| TherealObama vs Zafina | 4–1 | 80.00% |
| TherealObama vs Leo | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| TherealObama vs Xiaoyu | 3–0 | 100.00% |
| TherealObama vs Alisa | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| TherealObama vs Leroy | 0–3 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.