| Ariel vs King | 164–148 | 52.56% |
| Ariel vs Kazuya | 165–129 | 56.12% |
| Ariel vs Hwoarang | 135–149 | 47.54% |
| Ariel vs Reina | 144–126 | 53.33% |
| Ariel vs Jin | 136–127 | 51.71% |
| Ariel vs Law | 135–120 | 52.94% |
| Ariel vs Bryan | 105–103 | 50.48% |
| Ariel vs Lili | 94–109 | 46.31% |
| Ariel vs Azucena | 89–85 | 51.15% |
| Ariel vs Lee | 77–94 | 45.03% |
| Ariel vs Lars | 85–81 | 51.20% |
| Ariel vs Steve | 97–68 | 58.79% |
| Ariel vs Dragunov | 79–81 | 49.38% |
| Ariel vs Yoshimitsu | 74–84 | 46.84% |
| Ariel vs Paul | 68–88 | 43.59% |
| Ariel vs Xiaoyu | 75–59 | 55.97% |
| Ariel vs Victor | 58–66 | 46.77% |
| Ariel vs Jun | 59–64 | 47.97% |
| Ariel vs Asuka | 62–57 | 52.10% |
| Ariel vs Eddy | 56–60 | 48.28% |
| Ariel vs Leo | 53–59 | 47.32% |
| Ariel vs Alisa | 42–70 | 37.50% |
| Ariel vs Heihachi | 59–45 | 56.73% |
| Ariel vs Armor King | 55–49 | 52.88% |
| Ariel vs Jack-8 | 57–42 | 57.58% |
| Ariel vs Nina | 45–51 | 46.88% |
| Ariel vs Devil Jin | 43–50 | 46.24% |
| Ariel vs Raven | 42–50 | 45.65% |
| Ariel vs Leroy | 40–47 | 45.98% |
| Ariel vs Feng | 35–49 | 41.67% |
| Ariel vs Kuma | 29–47 | 38.16% |
| Ariel vs Lidia | 35–35 | 50.00% |
| Ariel vs Claudio | 16–35 | 31.37% |
| Ariel vs Clive | 23–27 | 46.00% |
| Ariel vs Zafina | 17–28 | 37.78% |
| Ariel vs Fahkumram | 24–17 | 58.54% |
| Ariel vs Shaheen | 14–20 | 41.18% |
| Ariel vs Miary Zo | 10–16 | 38.46% |
| Ariel vs Anna | 8–15 | 34.78% |
| Ariel vs Panda | 9–9 | 50.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.