| messi vs Paul | 3–9 | 25.00% |
| messi vs Clive | 3–8 | 27.27% |
| messi vs Hwoarang | 3–5 | 37.50% |
| messi vs Reina | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| messi vs Law | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| messi vs Kazuya | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| messi vs Lars | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| messi vs Devil Jin | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| messi vs Dragunov | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| messi vs Lee | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| messi vs Lidia | 0–3 | 0.00% |
| messi vs King | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| messi vs Xiaoyu | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| messi vs Bryan | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| messi vs Steve | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| messi vs Lili | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| messi vs Claudio | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| messi vs Azucena | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| messi vs Yoshimitsu | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| messi vs Asuka | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| messi vs Nina | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| messi vs Victor | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| messi vs Heihachi | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.