| Way to Dawn vs King | 20–15 | 57.14% |
| Way to Dawn vs Lidia | 15–16 | 48.39% |
| Way to Dawn vs Hwoarang | 17–11 | 60.71% |
| Way to Dawn vs Kazuya | 18–10 | 64.29% |
| Way to Dawn vs Law | 12–13 | 48.00% |
| Way to Dawn vs Steve | 16–8 | 66.67% |
| Way to Dawn vs Nina | 13–10 | 56.52% |
| Way to Dawn vs Reina | 14–9 | 60.87% |
| Way to Dawn vs Clive | 17–4 | 80.95% |
| Way to Dawn vs Azucena | 10–9 | 52.63% |
| Way to Dawn vs Jin | 14–4 | 77.78% |
| Way to Dawn vs Lili | 14–4 | 77.78% |
| Way to Dawn vs Xiaoyu | 7–8 | 46.67% |
| Way to Dawn vs Lars | 6–9 | 40.00% |
| Way to Dawn vs Lee | 9–5 | 64.29% |
| Way to Dawn vs Jun | 9–4 | 69.23% |
| Way to Dawn vs Jack-8 | 6–6 | 50.00% |
| Way to Dawn vs Heihachi | 7–5 | 58.33% |
| Way to Dawn vs Shaheen | 6–4 | 60.00% |
| Way to Dawn vs Bryan | 5–4 | 55.56% |
| Way to Dawn vs Raven | 4–5 | 44.44% |
| Way to Dawn vs Yoshimitsu | 3–5 | 37.50% |
| Way to Dawn vs Victor | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| Way to Dawn vs Paul | 6–1 | 85.71% |
| Way to Dawn vs Dragunov | 5–2 | 71.43% |
| Way to Dawn vs Leroy | 6–1 | 85.71% |
| Way to Dawn vs Eddy | 3–4 | 42.86% |
| Way to Dawn vs Kuma | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| Way to Dawn vs Zafina | 4–1 | 80.00% |
| Way to Dawn vs Leo | 4–0 | 100.00% |
| Way to Dawn vs Asuka | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Way to Dawn vs Alisa | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Way to Dawn vs Devil Jin | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Way to Dawn vs Claudio | 1–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.