| Hotguy vs Steve | 11–7 | 61.11% |
| Hotguy vs King | 13–3 | 81.25% |
| Hotguy vs Hwoarang | 10–6 | 62.50% |
| Hotguy vs Eddy | 11–5 | 68.75% |
| Hotguy vs Azucena | 9–4 | 69.23% |
| Hotguy vs Paul | 7–3 | 70.00% |
| Hotguy vs Jin | 5–5 | 50.00% |
| Hotguy vs Kazuya | 5–5 | 50.00% |
| Hotguy vs Feng | 9–1 | 90.00% |
| Hotguy vs Victor | 6–4 | 60.00% |
| Hotguy vs Law | 3–6 | 33.33% |
| Hotguy vs Dragunov | 7–2 | 77.78% |
| Hotguy vs Alisa | 4–5 | 44.44% |
| Hotguy vs Reina | 7–2 | 77.78% |
| Hotguy vs Bryan | 6–2 | 75.00% |
| Hotguy vs Xiaoyu | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Hotguy vs Devil Jin | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Hotguy vs Leroy | 6–0 | 100.00% |
| Hotguy vs Lars | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| Hotguy vs Nina | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| Hotguy vs Lee | 5–0 | 100.00% |
| Hotguy vs Yoshimitsu | 4–0 | 100.00% |
| Hotguy vs Lili | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Hotguy vs Claudio | 4–0 | 100.00% |
| Hotguy vs Asuka | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Hotguy vs Leo | 0–3 | 0.00% |
| Hotguy vs Kuma | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Hotguy vs Raven | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Hotguy vs Panda | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Hotguy vs Jack-8 | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| Hotguy vs Jun | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| Hotguy vs Lidia | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.