| TOAST vs King | 105–102 | 50.72% |
| TOAST vs Kazuya | 90–116 | 43.69% |
| TOAST vs Jin | 92–98 | 48.42% |
| TOAST vs Steve | 89–74 | 54.60% |
| TOAST vs Bryan | 67–95 | 41.36% |
| TOAST vs Heihachi | 55–87 | 38.73% |
| TOAST vs Law | 62–77 | 44.60% |
| TOAST vs Reina | 53–69 | 43.44% |
| TOAST vs Hwoarang | 55–63 | 46.61% |
| TOAST vs Lee | 55–54 | 50.46% |
| TOAST vs Azucena | 52–55 | 48.60% |
| TOAST vs Dragunov | 46–56 | 45.10% |
| TOAST vs Yoshimitsu | 44–56 | 44.00% |
| TOAST vs Lidia | 45–55 | 45.00% |
| TOAST vs Lili | 37–62 | 37.37% |
| TOAST vs Asuka | 44–51 | 46.32% |
| TOAST vs Jun | 46–48 | 48.94% |
| TOAST vs Paul | 39–50 | 43.82% |
| TOAST vs Lars | 37–45 | 45.12% |
| TOAST vs Eddy | 39–37 | 51.32% |
| TOAST vs Armor King | 23–53 | 30.26% |
| TOAST vs Fahkumram | 35–39 | 47.30% |
| TOAST vs Clive | 27–43 | 38.57% |
| TOAST vs Devil Jin | 23–43 | 34.85% |
| TOAST vs Victor | 26–37 | 41.27% |
| TOAST vs Feng | 19–37 | 33.93% |
| TOAST vs Anna | 25–29 | 46.30% |
| TOAST vs Leo | 23–30 | 43.40% |
| TOAST vs Nina | 27–25 | 51.92% |
| TOAST vs Jack-8 | 26–24 | 52.00% |
| TOAST vs Alisa | 30–18 | 62.50% |
| TOAST vs Raven | 20–28 | 41.67% |
| TOAST vs Claudio | 19–27 | 41.30% |
| TOAST vs Xiaoyu | 21–21 | 50.00% |
| TOAST vs Miary Zo | 20–21 | 48.78% |
| TOAST vs Leroy | 17–12 | 58.62% |
| TOAST vs Kuma | 12–15 | 44.44% |
| TOAST vs Shaheen | 13–11 | 54.17% |
| TOAST vs Zafina | 12–6 | 66.67% |
| TOAST vs Panda | 4–8 | 33.33% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.