| Chance vs Kazuya | 52–72 | 41.94% |
| Chance vs Jin | 64–59 | 52.03% |
| Chance vs Bryan | 53–59 | 47.32% |
| Chance vs King | 65–46 | 58.56% |
| Chance vs Reina | 65–38 | 63.11% |
| Chance vs Paul | 49–50 | 49.49% |
| Chance vs Hwoarang | 49–46 | 51.58% |
| Chance vs Steve | 40–35 | 53.33% |
| Chance vs Lili | 30–43 | 41.10% |
| Chance vs Dragunov | 40–28 | 58.82% |
| Chance vs Lee | 24–41 | 36.92% |
| Chance vs Law | 30–32 | 48.39% |
| Chance vs Lidia | 25–31 | 44.64% |
| Chance vs Yoshimitsu | 34–21 | 61.82% |
| Chance vs Xiaoyu | 23–31 | 42.59% |
| Chance vs Eddy | 19–33 | 36.54% |
| Chance vs Nina | 19–32 | 37.25% |
| Chance vs Leo | 28–21 | 57.14% |
| Chance vs Lars | 24–25 | 48.98% |
| Chance vs Asuka | 31–16 | 65.96% |
| Chance vs Victor | 18–26 | 40.91% |
| Chance vs Heihachi | 22–22 | 50.00% |
| Chance vs Azucena | 14–29 | 32.56% |
| Chance vs Clive | 17–21 | 44.74% |
| Chance vs Leroy | 16–18 | 47.06% |
| Chance vs Devil Jin | 15–17 | 46.88% |
| Chance vs Jun | 12–17 | 41.38% |
| Chance vs Raven | 9–17 | 34.62% |
| Chance vs Claudio | 12–13 | 48.00% |
| Chance vs Feng | 13–11 | 54.17% |
| Chance vs Alisa | 11–11 | 50.00% |
| Chance vs Jack-8 | 6–15 | 28.57% |
| Chance vs Shaheen | 7–13 | 35.00% |
| Chance vs Fahkumram | 9–11 | 45.00% |
| Chance vs Kuma | 5–12 | 29.41% |
| Chance vs Zafina | 7–5 | 58.33% |
| Chance vs Panda | 2–5 | 28.57% |
| Chance vs Anna | 3–3 | 50.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.