| hotaru vs Bryan | 48–62 | 43.64% |
| hotaru vs Kazuya | 50–50 | 50.00% |
| hotaru vs Nina | 54–46 | 54.00% |
| hotaru vs Reina | 48–45 | 51.61% |
| hotaru vs Dragunov | 42–50 | 45.65% |
| hotaru vs Paul | 47–44 | 51.65% |
| hotaru vs Jin | 49–42 | 53.85% |
| hotaru vs Asuka | 45–46 | 49.45% |
| hotaru vs Hwoarang | 42–41 | 50.60% |
| hotaru vs Victor | 42–33 | 56.00% |
| hotaru vs Lili | 39–34–1 | 53.42% |
| hotaru vs Steve | 38–33 | 53.52% |
| hotaru vs Yoshimitsu | 45–24 | 65.22% |
| hotaru vs King | 29–39 | 42.65% |
| hotaru vs Miary Zo | 30–30 | 50.00% |
| hotaru vs Heihachi | 28–31 | 47.46% |
| hotaru vs Feng | 30–26 | 53.57% |
| hotaru vs Armor King | 28–28 | 50.00% |
| hotaru vs Devil Jin | 24–28 | 46.15% |
| hotaru vs Alisa | 27–21 | 56.25% |
| hotaru vs Lee | 26–22 | 54.17% |
| hotaru vs Eddy | 19–24 | 44.19% |
| hotaru vs Law | 22–20 | 52.38% |
| hotaru vs Xiaoyu | 22–20 | 52.38% |
| hotaru vs Clive | 16–24 | 40.00% |
| hotaru vs Azucena | 30–9 | 76.92% |
| hotaru vs Leo | 16–22 | 42.11% |
| hotaru vs Lidia | 24–14 | 63.16% |
| hotaru vs Lars | 13–23 | 36.11% |
| hotaru vs Jun | 12–24 | 33.33% |
| hotaru vs Jack-8 | 11–16 | 40.74% |
| hotaru vs Raven | 13–14 | 48.15% |
| hotaru vs Fahkumram | 17–10 | 62.96% |
| hotaru vs Shaheen | 9–16 | 36.00% |
| hotaru vs Anna | 11–14 | 44.00% |
| hotaru vs Claudio | 14–10 | 58.33% |
| hotaru vs Leroy | 13–10 | 56.52% |
| hotaru vs Zafina | 12–9 | 57.14% |
| hotaru vs Kuma | 2–8 | 20.00% |
| hotaru vs Panda | 4–4 | 50.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.