| El_Toasty vs Kazuya | 80–64 | 55.56% |
| El_Toasty vs Paul | 60–60 | 50.00% |
| El_Toasty vs Bryan | 67–48 | 58.26% |
| El_Toasty vs Jin | 53–58 | 47.75% |
| El_Toasty vs King | 55–50 | 52.38% |
| El_Toasty vs Reina | 50–55 | 47.62% |
| El_Toasty vs Yoshimitsu | 48–41 | 53.93% |
| El_Toasty vs Steve | 53–34 | 60.92% |
| El_Toasty vs Hwoarang | 32–51 | 38.55% |
| El_Toasty vs Law | 41–40 | 50.62% |
| El_Toasty vs Dragunov | 38–41 | 48.10% |
| El_Toasty vs Lee | 36–40 | 47.37% |
| El_Toasty vs Asuka | 38–35 | 52.05% |
| El_Toasty vs Azucena | 31–40 | 43.66% |
| El_Toasty vs Feng | 30–28 | 51.72% |
| El_Toasty vs Lili | 25–31 | 44.64% |
| El_Toasty vs Lars | 31–24 | 56.36% |
| El_Toasty vs Xiaoyu | 25–27 | 48.08% |
| El_Toasty vs Devil Jin | 20–32 | 38.46% |
| El_Toasty vs Jun | 17–34 | 33.33% |
| El_Toasty vs Jack-8 | 21–29 | 42.00% |
| El_Toasty vs Leo | 23–27 | 46.00% |
| El_Toasty vs Eddy | 20–30 | 40.00% |
| El_Toasty vs Leroy | 24–22 | 52.17% |
| El_Toasty vs Claudio | 24–21 | 53.33% |
| El_Toasty vs Nina | 25–20 | 55.56% |
| El_Toasty vs Shaheen | 14–21 | 40.00% |
| El_Toasty vs Raven | 19–13 | 59.38% |
| El_Toasty vs Lidia | 11–21 | 34.38% |
| El_Toasty vs Kuma | 13–17 | 43.33% |
| El_Toasty vs Victor | 8–19 | 29.63% |
| El_Toasty vs Alisa | 5–14 | 26.32% |
| El_Toasty vs Anna | 10–9 | 52.63% |
| El_Toasty vs Zafina | 4–12 | 25.00% |
| El_Toasty vs Heihachi | 14–2 | 87.50% |
| El_Toasty vs Panda | 4–10 | 28.57% |
| El_Toasty vs Fahkumram | 9–4 | 69.23% |
| El_Toasty vs Clive | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| El_Toasty vs Miary Zo | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.