| Chance vs Reina | 5–4 | 55.56% |
| Chance vs Yoshimitsu | 4–3 | 57.14% |
| Chance vs Xiaoyu | 4–2 | 66.67% |
| Chance vs Asuka | 6–0 | 100.00% |
| Chance vs Kazuya | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| Chance vs Devil Jin | 4–1 | 80.00% |
| Chance vs Dragunov | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| Chance vs Heihachi | 4–1 | 80.00% |
| Chance vs Eddy | 3–1 | 75.00% |
| Chance vs Paul | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Chance vs Bryan | 3–0 | 100.00% |
| Chance vs Leroy | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Chance vs King | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Chance vs Hwoarang | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Chance vs Jin | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Chance vs Steve | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Chance vs Feng | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Chance vs Lili | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Chance vs Lars | 1–1 | 50.00% |
| Chance vs Zafina | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Chance vs Azucena | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Chance vs Clive | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Chance vs Leo | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| Chance vs Victor | 1–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.