| Desert vs King | 74–110 | 40.22% |
| Desert vs Jin | 68–111 | 37.99% |
| Desert vs Bryan | 55–83 | 39.86% |
| Desert vs Law | 55–73 | 42.97% |
| Desert vs Kazuya | 50–78 | 39.06% |
| Desert vs Steve | 49–75 | 39.52% |
| Desert vs Hwoarang | 41–72 | 36.28% |
| Desert vs Reina | 30–64 | 31.91% |
| Desert vs Heihachi | 30–59 | 33.71% |
| Desert vs Lili | 25–53 | 32.05% |
| Desert vs Paul | 17–60 | 22.08% |
| Desert vs Dragunov | 33–44 | 42.86% |
| Desert vs Yoshimitsu | 12–60 | 16.67% |
| Desert vs Fahkumram | 34–32 | 51.52% |
| Desert vs Victor | 26–36 | 41.94% |
| Desert vs Eddy | 22–40 | 35.48% |
| Desert vs Asuka | 18–35 | 33.96% |
| Desert vs Jun | 23–27 | 46.00% |
| Desert vs Lars | 17–32 | 34.69% |
| Desert vs Nina | 17–31 | 35.42% |
| Desert vs Azucena | 21–27 | 43.75% |
| Desert vs Clive | 23–25 | 47.92% |
| Desert vs Anna | 13–35 | 27.08% |
| Desert vs Alisa | 16–21 | 43.24% |
| Desert vs Xiaoyu | 14–20 | 41.18% |
| Desert vs Devil Jin | 12–22 | 35.29% |
| Desert vs Armor King | 16–17 | 48.48% |
| Desert vs Lee | 10–22 | 31.25% |
| Desert vs Claudio | 14–15 | 48.28% |
| Desert vs Lidia | 13–15 | 46.43% |
| Desert vs Feng | 11–16 | 40.74% |
| Desert vs Jack-8 | 12–12 | 50.00% |
| Desert vs Raven | 10–13 | 43.48% |
| Desert vs Leroy | 9–13 | 40.91% |
| Desert vs Leo | 6–14 | 30.00% |
| Desert vs Shaheen | 8–12 | 40.00% |
| Desert vs Zafina | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| Desert vs Kuma | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| Desert vs Panda | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.