| Arial vs Kazuya | 107–99 | 51.94% |
| Arial vs Jin | 64–97 | 39.75% |
| Arial vs Reina | 91–68 | 57.23% |
| Arial vs Bryan | 69–88 | 43.95% |
| Arial vs Heihachi | 61–69 | 46.92% |
| Arial vs Law | 46–60 | 43.40% |
| Arial vs Paul | 34–65 | 34.34% |
| Arial vs King | 52–47 | 52.53% |
| Arial vs Hwoarang | 35–62 | 36.08% |
| Arial vs Steve | 38–59 | 39.18% |
| Arial vs Yoshimitsu | 46–47 | 49.46% |
| Arial vs Lili | 32–58 | 35.56% |
| Arial vs Dragunov | 38–32 | 54.29% |
| Arial vs Devil Jin | 31–38 | 44.93% |
| Arial vs Asuka | 23–45 | 33.82% |
| Arial vs Feng | 34–28 | 54.84% |
| Arial vs Jun | 19–37 | 33.93% |
| Arial vs Nina | 30–25 | 54.55% |
| Arial vs Xiaoyu | 29–23 | 55.77% |
| Arial vs Lars | 25–25 | 50.00% |
| Arial vs Lee | 17–33 | 34.00% |
| Arial vs Alisa | 18–29 | 38.30% |
| Arial vs Jack-8 | 20–21 | 48.78% |
| Arial vs Victor | 16–25 | 39.02% |
| Arial vs Leo | 13–27 | 32.50% |
| Arial vs Azucena | 17–22 | 43.59% |
| Arial vs Lidia | 14–22 | 38.89% |
| Arial vs Eddy | 18–15 | 54.55% |
| Arial vs Claudio | 13–17 | 43.33% |
| Arial vs Raven | 14–14 | 50.00% |
| Arial vs Shaheen | 9–10 | 47.37% |
| Arial vs Leroy | 7–12 | 36.84% |
| Arial vs Zafina | 7–11 | 38.89% |
| Arial vs Kuma | 3–10 | 23.08% |
| Arial vs Panda | 1–5 | 16.67% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.