| Carnival vs King | 11–41 | 21.15% |
| Carnival vs Reina | 15–37 | 28.85% |
| Carnival vs Lili | 8–22 | 26.67% |
| Carnival vs Eddy | 2–28 | 6.67% |
| Carnival vs Jun | 9–20 | 31.03% |
| Carnival vs Dragunov | 3–23 | 11.54% |
| Carnival vs Azucena | 6–18 | 25.00% |
| Carnival vs Heihachi | 10–13 | 43.48% |
| Carnival vs Jin | 4–18 | 18.18% |
| Carnival vs Kazuya | 4–17 | 19.05% |
| Carnival vs Leo | 2–19 | 9.52% |
| Carnival vs Clive | 4–17 | 19.05% |
| Carnival vs Steve | 5–15 | 25.00% |
| Carnival vs Lars | 7–12 | 36.84% |
| Carnival vs Victor | 1–16 | 5.88% |
| Carnival vs Law | 3–12 | 20.00% |
| Carnival vs Nina | 6–9 | 40.00% |
| Carnival vs Leroy | 5–10 | 33.33% |
| Carnival vs Lee | 0–13 | 0.00% |
| Carnival vs Raven | 8–5 | 61.54% |
| Carnival vs Hwoarang | 3–9 | 25.00% |
| Carnival vs Asuka | 2–10 | 16.67% |
| Carnival vs Alisa | 5–7 | 41.67% |
| Carnival vs Shaheen | 4–8 | 33.33% |
| Carnival vs Lidia | 2–9 | 18.18% |
| Carnival vs Paul | 3–6 | 33.33% |
| Carnival vs Bryan | 3–6 | 33.33% |
| Carnival vs Claudio | 0–8 | 0.00% |
| Carnival vs Anna | 1–7 | 12.50% |
| Carnival vs Kuma | 2–5 | 28.57% |
| Carnival vs Yoshimitsu | 0–6 | 0.00% |
| Carnival vs Xiaoyu | 0–6 | 0.00% |
| Carnival vs Jack-8 | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| Carnival vs Feng | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Carnival vs Panda | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Carnival vs Zafina | 0–2 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.