| Water vs King | 26–33 | 44.07% |
| Water vs Jin | 23–28 | 45.10% |
| Water vs Kazuya | 23–20 | 53.49% |
| Water vs Eddy | 14–29 | 32.56% |
| Water vs Law | 9–23 | 28.12% |
| Water vs Bryan | 17–15 | 53.12% |
| Water vs Paul | 13–18 | 41.94% |
| Water vs Hwoarang | 11–18 | 37.93% |
| Water vs Reina | 18–10 | 64.29% |
| Water vs Steve | 15–12 | 55.56% |
| Water vs Azucena | 16–10 | 61.54% |
| Water vs Lili | 10–11 | 47.62% |
| Water vs Lars | 6–15 | 28.57% |
| Water vs Jun | 5–14 | 26.32% |
| Water vs Devil Jin | 8–10 | 44.44% |
| Water vs Dragunov | 4–12 | 25.00% |
| Water vs Asuka | 11–4 | 73.33% |
| Water vs Alisa | 8–7 | 53.33% |
| Water vs Yoshimitsu | 8–6 | 57.14% |
| Water vs Lee | 2–9 | 18.18% |
| Water vs Xiaoyu | 3–4 | 42.86% |
| Water vs Claudio | 2–5 | 28.57% |
| Water vs Victor | 3–4 | 42.86% |
| Water vs Zafina | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| Water vs Feng | 3–1 | 75.00% |
| Water vs Leo | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Water vs Nina | 4–0 | 100.00% |
| Water vs Kuma | 0–4 | 0.00% |
| Water vs Shaheen | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Water vs Leroy | 2–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.