| The Thinker vs King | 54–47 | 53.47% |
| The Thinker vs Kazuya | 55–36 | 60.44% |
| The Thinker vs Bryan | 42–42 | 50.00% |
| The Thinker vs Dragunov | 49–35 | 58.33% |
| The Thinker vs Jin | 38–45 | 45.78% |
| The Thinker vs Reina | 44–34 | 56.41% |
| The Thinker vs Steve | 34–36 | 48.57% |
| The Thinker vs Asuka | 31–35 | 46.97% |
| The Thinker vs Law | 37–22 | 62.71% |
| The Thinker vs Yoshimitsu | 27–32 | 45.76% |
| The Thinker vs Lidia | 35–24 | 59.32% |
| The Thinker vs Nina | 26–27 | 49.06% |
| The Thinker vs Hwoarang | 20–31 | 39.22% |
| The Thinker vs Paul | 27–20 | 57.45% |
| The Thinker vs Lars | 22–21 | 51.16% |
| The Thinker vs Feng | 16–26 | 38.10% |
| The Thinker vs Jack-8 | 21–17 | 55.26% |
| The Thinker vs Lee | 18–20 | 47.37% |
| The Thinker vs Jun | 19–18 | 51.35% |
| The Thinker vs Lili | 16–18 | 47.06% |
| The Thinker vs Azucena | 21–12 | 63.64% |
| The Thinker vs Xiaoyu | 17–14 | 54.84% |
| The Thinker vs Eddy | 13–16 | 44.83% |
| The Thinker vs Leo | 11–13 | 45.83% |
| The Thinker vs Devil Jin | 13–10 | 56.52% |
| The Thinker vs Leroy | 13–10 | 56.52% |
| The Thinker vs Clive | 10–12 | 45.45% |
| The Thinker vs Raven | 12–9 | 57.14% |
| The Thinker vs Alisa | 9–11 | 45.00% |
| The Thinker vs Zafina | 4–11 | 26.67% |
| The Thinker vs Victor | 7–8 | 46.67% |
| The Thinker vs Shaheen | 6–6 | 50.00% |
| The Thinker vs Kuma | 2–8 | 20.00% |
| The Thinker vs Heihachi | 3–6 | 33.33% |
| The Thinker vs Panda | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| The Thinker vs Claudio | 1–2 | 33.33% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.