| Willy Chestnut vs King | 21–30 | 41.18% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Kazuya | 17–30 | 36.17% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Bryan | 24–22 | 52.17% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Reina | 19–20 | 48.72% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Dragunov | 13–23 | 36.11% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Hwoarang | 20–7 | 74.07% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Lili | 14–13 | 51.85% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Victor | 10–16 | 38.46% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Jun | 13–12 | 52.00% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Jin | 11–13 | 45.83% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Eddy | 10–12 | 45.45% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Azucena | 12–9 | 57.14% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Xiaoyu | 13–7 | 65.00% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Steve | 7–13 | 35.00% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Lidia | 8–12 | 40.00% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Yoshimitsu | 5–13 | 27.78% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Paul | 9–6 | 60.00% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Law | 5–10 | 33.33% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Jack-8 | 6–9 | 40.00% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Claudio | 8–7 | 53.33% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Alisa | 8–6 | 57.14% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Leroy | 4–10 | 28.57% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Lee | 5–8 | 38.46% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Raven | 8–4 | 66.67% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Asuka | 4–7 | 36.36% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Nina | 7–4 | 63.64% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Devil Jin | 3–7 | 30.00% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Feng | 5–5 | 50.00% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Lars | 6–4 | 60.00% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Shaheen | 3–7 | 30.00% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Kuma | 3–6 | 33.33% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Clive | 3–6 | 33.33% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Anna | 4–5 | 44.44% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Leo | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Fahkumram | 1–5 | 16.67% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Panda | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Armor King | 3–1 | 75.00% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Heihachi | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Zafina | 1–1 | 50.00% |
| Willy Chestnut vs Miary Zo | 0–2 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.