| Thunder vs Steve | 122–106 | 53.51% |
| Thunder vs Law | 100–115 | 46.51% |
| Thunder vs Hwoarang | 104–108 | 49.06% |
| Thunder vs Jin | 103–107 | 49.05% |
| Thunder vs Reina | 95–114 | 45.45% |
| Thunder vs King | 89–116 | 43.41% |
| Thunder vs Eddy | 83–93 | 47.16% |
| Thunder vs Bryan | 72–94 | 43.37% |
| Thunder vs Kazuya | 68–98 | 40.96% |
| Thunder vs Jun | 78–83 | 48.45% |
| Thunder vs Yoshimitsu | 71–77 | 47.97% |
| Thunder vs Lili | 60–69 | 46.51% |
| Thunder vs Azucena | 57–67 | 45.97% |
| Thunder vs Dragunov | 49–69 | 41.53% |
| Thunder vs Lee | 46–64 | 41.82% |
| Thunder vs Victor | 54–49 | 52.43% |
| Thunder vs Lars | 40–58 | 40.82% |
| Thunder vs Paul | 44–50 | 46.81% |
| Thunder vs Asuka | 40–52 | 43.48% |
| Thunder vs Xiaoyu | 49–41 | 54.44% |
| Thunder vs Nina | 32–55 | 36.78% |
| Thunder vs Heihachi | 28–40 | 41.18% |
| Thunder vs Raven | 23–37 | 38.33% |
| Thunder vs Leo | 24–35 | 40.68% |
| Thunder vs Leroy | 26–33 | 44.07% |
| Thunder vs Lidia | 28–30 | 48.28% |
| Thunder vs Alisa | 27–30 | 47.37% |
| Thunder vs Devil Jin | 32–21 | 60.38% |
| Thunder vs Feng | 19–32 | 37.25% |
| Thunder vs Claudio | 27–21 | 56.25% |
| Thunder vs Kuma | 15–29 | 34.09% |
| Thunder vs Shaheen | 24–17 | 58.54% |
| Thunder vs Jack-8 | 14–24 | 36.84% |
| Thunder vs Zafina | 11–16 | 40.74% |
| Thunder vs Panda | 5–6 | 45.45% |
| Thunder vs Anna | 0–3 | 0.00% |
| Thunder vs Clive | 0–2 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.