| penguin vs Bryan | 32–31 | 50.79% |
| penguin vs Kazuya | 28–31 | 47.46% |
| penguin vs Dragunov | 27–30 | 47.37% |
| penguin vs Jin | 24–26 | 48.00% |
| penguin vs Steve | 16–24 | 40.00% |
| penguin vs Paul | 19–20 | 48.72% |
| penguin vs King | 19–20 | 48.72% |
| penguin vs Victor | 15–23 | 39.47% |
| penguin vs Reina | 17–20 | 45.95% |
| penguin vs Yoshimitsu | 16–20 | 44.44% |
| penguin vs Devil Jin | 14–17 | 45.16% |
| penguin vs Lili | 18–9 | 66.67% |
| penguin vs Hwoarang | 7–16 | 30.43% |
| penguin vs Jun | 9–14 | 39.13% |
| penguin vs Eddy | 9–12 | 42.86% |
| penguin vs Asuka | 12–8 | 60.00% |
| penguin vs Law | 8–11 | 42.11% |
| penguin vs Xiaoyu | 6–13 | 31.58% |
| penguin vs Azucena | 10–9 | 52.63% |
| penguin vs Alisa | 8–10 | 44.44% |
| penguin vs Jack-8 | 7–10 | 41.18% |
| penguin vs Lars | 5–11 | 31.25% |
| penguin vs Claudio | 5–11 | 31.25% |
| penguin vs Lee | 6–10 | 37.50% |
| penguin vs Leroy | 8–5 | 61.54% |
| penguin vs Raven | 4–9 | 30.77% |
| penguin vs Nina | 3–6 | 33.33% |
| penguin vs Lidia | 5–4 | 55.56% |
| penguin vs Feng | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| penguin vs Shaheen | 6–1 | 85.71% |
| penguin vs Leo | 0–6 | 0.00% |
| penguin vs Kuma | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| penguin vs Panda | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| penguin vs Clive | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| penguin vs Armor King | 0–3 | 0.00% |
| penguin vs Fahkumram | 1–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.