| chili vs Bryan | 67–86 | 43.79% |
| chili vs Jin | 89–58 | 60.54% |
| chili vs Kazuya | 90–54 | 62.50% |
| chili vs Dragunov | 62–79 | 43.97% |
| chili vs King | 69–50 | 57.98% |
| chili vs Steve | 49–57 | 46.23% |
| chili vs Hwoarang | 39–61 | 39.00% |
| chili vs Reina | 53–34 | 60.92% |
| chili vs Law | 36–40 | 47.37% |
| chili vs Heihachi | 39–33 | 54.17% |
| chili vs Lili | 34–32 | 51.52% |
| chili vs Fahkumram | 32–34 | 48.48% |
| chili vs Paul | 27–37 | 42.19% |
| chili vs Feng | 32–28 | 53.33% |
| chili vs Yoshimitsu | 31–25 | 55.36% |
| chili vs Devil Jin | 30–26 | 53.57% |
| chili vs Lee | 20–35 | 36.36% |
| chili vs Lars | 25–27 | 48.08% |
| chili vs Anna | 31–20 | 60.78% |
| chili vs Jun | 22–26 | 45.83% |
| chili vs Victor | 23–23 | 50.00% |
| chili vs Claudio | 18–26 | 40.91% |
| chili vs Asuka | 20–21 | 48.78% |
| chili vs Nina | 18–23 | 43.90% |
| chili vs Xiaoyu | 21–19 | 52.50% |
| chili vs Leo | 17–23 | 42.50% |
| chili vs Azucena | 21–18 | 53.85% |
| chili vs Eddy | 14–22 | 38.89% |
| chili vs Lidia | 15–20 | 42.86% |
| chili vs Leroy | 12–22 | 35.29% |
| chili vs Zafina | 11–17 | 39.29% |
| chili vs Alisa | 12–15 | 44.44% |
| chili vs Jack-8 | 9–13 | 40.91% |
| chili vs Raven | 9–13 | 40.91% |
| chili vs Armor King | 8–13 | 38.10% |
| chili vs Kuma | 4–15 | 21.05% |
| chili vs Shaheen | 10–8 | 55.56% |
| chili vs Clive | 3–14 | 17.65% |
| chili vs Panda | 3–7 | 30.00% |
| chili vs Miary Zo | 6–3 | 66.67% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.