| Chief Toad vs Steve | 10–15 | 40.00% |
| Chief Toad vs Reina | 10–11 | 47.62% |
| Chief Toad vs Jin | 6–11 | 35.29% |
| Chief Toad vs Eddy | 4–10 | 28.57% |
| Chief Toad vs Hwoarang | 4–8 | 33.33% |
| Chief Toad vs Bryan | 4–8 | 33.33% |
| Chief Toad vs Jun | 4–8 | 33.33% |
| Chief Toad vs Paul | 6–4 | 60.00% |
| Chief Toad vs Lili | 3–7 | 30.00% |
| Chief Toad vs Claudio | 3–4 | 42.86% |
| Chief Toad vs Law | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Chief Toad vs Yoshimitsu | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Chief Toad vs Kazuya | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Chief Toad vs Dragunov | 4–2 | 66.67% |
| Chief Toad vs Lee | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Chief Toad vs Xiaoyu | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Chief Toad vs Feng | 0–4 | 0.00% |
| Chief Toad vs Azucena | 3–1 | 75.00% |
| Chief Toad vs Asuka | 0–3 | 0.00% |
| Chief Toad vs Nina | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Chief Toad vs Panda | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Chief Toad vs Leo | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Chief Toad vs Lars | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Chief Toad vs Alisa | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Chief Toad vs Shaheen | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Chief Toad vs Kuma | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Chief Toad vs Raven | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Chief Toad vs Victor | 1–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.